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Published inNov 2022
PublisherPackt
ISBN-139781803246802
Edition1st Edition
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Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
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Manu Joseph

Manu Joseph is a self-made data scientist with more than a decade of experience working with many Fortune 500 companies enabling digital and AI transformations, specifically in machine learning-based demand forecasting. He is considered an expert, thought leader, and strong voice in the world of time series forecasting. Currently, Manu leads applied research at Thoucentric, where he advances research by bringing cutting-edge AI technologies to the industry. He is also an active open-source contributor and developed an open-source library—PyTorch Tabular—which makes deep learning for tabular data easy and accessible. Originally from Thiruvananthapuram, India, Manu currently resides in Bengaluru, India, with his wife and son
Read more about Manu Joseph

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Joint strategy

The previous two strategies consider the model to have a single output. This is the case with most ML models; we formulate the model to predict a single scalar value as the prediction after taking in an array of inputs: multiple input, single output (MISO). But there are some models, such as the DL models, which can be configured to give us multiple outputs. Therefore, the joint strategy, also called multiple input, multiple output (MIMO), aims to learn a single model that produces the entire forecasting horizon as an output:

Figure 17.4 – Joint strategy for multi-step forecasting

Let’s see how these regimes work.

Training regime

The joint strategy involves training a single multi-output model to forecast all the timesteps in the horizon at once. We can see in Figure 17.1 that we use the window function, , to draw a window from and train the model to predict . And during training, a loss function that measures the divergence...

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Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
Published in: Nov 2022Publisher: PacktISBN-13: 9781803246802

Author (1)

author image
Manu Joseph

Manu Joseph is a self-made data scientist with more than a decade of experience working with many Fortune 500 companies enabling digital and AI transformations, specifically in machine learning-based demand forecasting. He is considered an expert, thought leader, and strong voice in the world of time series forecasting. Currently, Manu leads applied research at Thoucentric, where he advances research by bringing cutting-edge AI technologies to the industry. He is also an active open-source contributor and developed an open-source library—PyTorch Tabular—which makes deep learning for tabular data easy and accessible. Originally from Thiruvananthapuram, India, Manu currently resides in Bengaluru, India, with his wife and son
Read more about Manu Joseph