Reader small image

You're reading from  Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python

Product typeBook
Published inNov 2022
PublisherPackt
ISBN-139781803246802
Edition1st Edition
Concepts
Right arrow
Author (1)
Manu Joseph
Manu Joseph
author image
Manu Joseph

Manu Joseph is a self-made data scientist with more than a decade of experience working with many Fortune 500 companies enabling digital and AI transformations, specifically in machine learning-based demand forecasting. He is considered an expert, thought leader, and strong voice in the world of time series forecasting. Currently, Manu leads applied research at Thoucentric, where he advances research by bringing cutting-edge AI technologies to the industry. He is also an active open-source contributor and developed an open-source library—PyTorch Tabular—which makes deep learning for tabular data easy and accessible. Originally from Thiruvananthapuram, India, Manu currently resides in Bengaluru, India, with his wife and son
Read more about Manu Joseph

Right arrow

Using the scale of the time series

We used GroupNormlizer in TimeSeriesDataset to scale each household using its own mean and standard deviation. We did this because we wanted to make the target zero mean and unit variance so that the model does not waste effort trying to change its parameters to capture the scale of individual household consumption. Although this is a good strategy, we do have some information loss here. There may be patterns that are specific to households whose consumption is on the larger side and some other patterns that are specific to households that consume much less. But now, they are both lumped in together and the model tries to learn common patterns. In such a scenario, these unique patterns seem like noise to the model because there is no variable to explain those.

The bottom line is that there is information in the scale that we removed, and adding that information back would be beneficial. So, how do we add it back? Definitely not by including the...

lock icon
The rest of the page is locked
Previous PageNext Page
You have been reading a chapter from
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python
Published in: Nov 2022Publisher: PacktISBN-13: 9781803246802

Author (1)

author image
Manu Joseph

Manu Joseph is a self-made data scientist with more than a decade of experience working with many Fortune 500 companies enabling digital and AI transformations, specifically in machine learning-based demand forecasting. He is considered an expert, thought leader, and strong voice in the world of time series forecasting. Currently, Manu leads applied research at Thoucentric, where he advances research by bringing cutting-edge AI technologies to the industry. He is also an active open-source contributor and developed an open-source library—PyTorch Tabular—which makes deep learning for tabular data easy and accessible. Originally from Thiruvananthapuram, India, Manu currently resides in Bengaluru, India, with his wife and son
Read more about Manu Joseph