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Data Analysis with R, Second Edition - Second Edition

You're reading from  Data Analysis with R, Second Edition - Second Edition

Product type Book
Published in Mar 2018
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781788393720
Pages 570 pages
Edition 2nd Edition
Languages

Table of Contents (24) Chapters

Title Page
Copyright and Credits
Packt Upsell
Contributors
Preface
RefresheR The Shape of Data Describing Relationships Probability Using Data To Reason About The World Testing Hypotheses Bayesian Methods The Bootstrap Predicting Continuous Variables Predicting Categorical Variables Predicting Changes with Time Sources of Data Dealing with Missing Data Dealing with Messy Data Dealing with Large Data Working with Popular R Packages Reproducibility and Best Practices Other Books You May Enjoy Index

Enter MCMC – stage left


As mentioned earlier, we started with the coin flip examples because of the ease of determining the posterior distribution analytically-primarily because of the beta distribution's self-conjugacy with respect to the binomial likelihood function.

It turns out that most real-world Bayesian analyses require a more complicated solution. In particular, the hyper-parameters that define the posterior distribution are rarely known. What can be determined is the probability density in the posterior distribution for each parameter value. The easiest way to get a sense of the shape of the posterior is to sample from it many thousands of times. More specifically, we sample from all possible parameter values and record the probability density at that point.

How do we do this? Well, in the case of just one parameter value, it's often computationally tractable to just randomly sample willy-nilly from the space of all possible parameter values. For cases where we are using Bayesian...

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