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You're reading from  Learning Bayesian Models with R

Product typeBook
Published inOct 2015
Reading LevelBeginner
PublisherPackt
ISBN-139781783987603
Edition1st Edition
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Author (1)
Hari Manassery Koduvely
Hari Manassery Koduvely
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Hari Manassery Koduvely

Dr. Hari M. Koduvely is an experienced data scientist working at the Samsung R&D Institute in Bangalore, India. He has a PhD in statistical physics from the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, Mumbai, India, and post-doctoral experience from the Weizmann Institute, Israel, and Georgia Tech, USA. Prior to joining Samsung, the author has worked for Amazon and Infosys Technologies, developing machine learning-based applications for their products and platforms. He also has several publications on Bayesian inference and its applications in areas such as recommendation systems and predictive health monitoring. His current interest is in developing large-scale machine learning methods, particularly for natural language understanding.
Read more about Hari Manassery Koduvely

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Bayesian theorem


From the definition of the conditional probabilities and , it is easy to show the following:

Rev. Thomas Bayes (1701–1761) used this rule and formulated his famous Bayes theorem that can be interpreted if represents the initial degree of belief (or prior probability) in the value of a random variable A before observing B; then, its posterior probability or degree of belief after accounted for B will get updated according to the preceding equation. So, the Bayesian inference essentially corresponds to updating beliefs about an uncertain system after having made some observations about it. In the sense, this is also how we human beings learn about the world. For example, before we visit a new city, we will have certain prior knowledge about the place after reading from books or on the Web.

However, soon after we reach the place, this belief will get updated based on our initial experience of the place. We continuously update the belief as we explore the new city more and more. We will describe Bayesian inference more in detail in Chapter 3, Introducing Bayesian Inference.

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Author (1)

author image
Hari Manassery Koduvely

Dr. Hari M. Koduvely is an experienced data scientist working at the Samsung R&D Institute in Bangalore, India. He has a PhD in statistical physics from the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research, Mumbai, India, and post-doctoral experience from the Weizmann Institute, Israel, and Georgia Tech, USA. Prior to joining Samsung, the author has worked for Amazon and Infosys Technologies, developing machine learning-based applications for their products and platforms. He also has several publications on Bayesian inference and its applications in areas such as recommendation systems and predictive health monitoring. His current interest is in developing large-scale machine learning methods, particularly for natural language understanding.
Read more about Hari Manassery Koduvely