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Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R

You're reading from  Hands-On Time Series Analysis with R

Product type Book
Published in May 2019
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781788629157
Pages 448 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
Author (1):
Rami Krispin Rami Krispin
Profile icon Rami Krispin

Table of Contents (14) Chapters

Preface 1. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and R 2. Working with Date and Time Objects 3. The Time Series Object 4. Working with zoo and xts Objects 5. Decomposition of Time Series Data 6. Seasonality Analysis 7. Correlation Analysis 8. Forecasting Strategies 9. Forecasting with Linear Regression 10. Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing Models 11. Forecasting with ARIMA Models 12. Forecasting with Machine Learning Models 13. Other Books You May Enjoy

The auto.arima function

One of the main challenges of forecasting with the ARIMA family of models is the cumbersome tuning process of the models. As we saw in this chapter, this process includes many manual steps that are required for verifying the structure of the series (stationary or non-stationary), data transformations, descriptive analysis with the ACF and PACF plots to identify the type of process, and eventually tune the model parameters. While it might take a few minutes to train an ARIMA model for a single series, it may not scale up if you have dozens of series to forecast.

The auto.arima function from the forecast package provides a solution to this issue. This algorithm automates the tuning process of the ARIMA model with the use of statistical methods to identify both the structure of the series (stationary or not) and type (seasonal or not), and sets the model&apos...

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