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Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python

You're reading from  Hands-On Simulation Modeling with Python

Product type Book
Published in Jul 2020
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781838985097
Pages 346 pages
Edition 1st Edition
Languages
Author (1):
Giuseppe Ciaburro Giuseppe Ciaburro
Profile icon Giuseppe Ciaburro

Table of Contents (16) Chapters

Preface 1. Section 1: Getting Started with Numerical Simulation
2. Chapter 1: Introducing Simulation Models 3. Chapter 2: Understanding Randomness and Random Numbers 4. Chapter 3: Probability and Data Generation Processes 5. Section 2: Simulation Modeling Algorithms and Techniques
6. Chapter 4: Exploring Monte Carlo Simulations 7. Chapter 5: Simulation-Based Markov Decision Processes 8. Chapter 6: Resampling Methods 9. Chapter 7: Using Simulation to Improve and Optimize Systems 10. Section 3: Real-World Applications
11. Chapter 8: Using Simulation Models for Financial Engineering 12. Chapter 9: Simulating Physical Phenomena Using Neural Networks 13. Chapter 10: Modeling and Simulation for Project Management 14. Chapter 11: What's Next? 15. Other Books You May Enjoy

Overview of Markov processes

Markov's decision-making process is defined as a discrete-time stochastic control process. In Chapter 2, Understanding Randomness and Random Numbers, we said that stochastic processes are numerical models used to simulate the evolution of a system according to random laws. Natural phenomena, both by their very nature and by observation errors, are characterized by random factors. These factors introduce a random number into the observation of the system. This random factor determines an uncertainty in the observation since it is not possible to predict with certainty what the result will be. In this case, we can only say that it will assume one of the many possible values with a certain probability.

If starting from an instant t in which an observation of the system is made, the evolution of the process will depend only on t, while it will not be influenced by the previous instants. Here, we can say that the stochastic process is Markovian.

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