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Bayesian Analysis with Python - Third Edition

You're reading from  Bayesian Analysis with Python - Third Edition

Product type Book
Published in Jan 2024
Publisher Packt
ISBN-13 9781805127161
Pages 394 pages
Edition 3rd Edition
Languages
Author (1):
Osvaldo Martin Osvaldo Martin
Profile icon Osvaldo Martin

Table of Contents (15) Chapters

Preface
1. Chapter 1 Thinking Probabilistically 2. Chapter 2 Programming Probabilistically 3. Chapter 3 Hierarchical Models 4. Chapter 4 Modeling with Lines 5. Chapter 5 Comparing Models 6. Chapter 6 Modeling with Bambi 7. Chapter 7 Mixture Models 8. Chapter 8 Gaussian Processes 9. Chapter 9 Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 10. Chapter 10 Inference Engines 11. Chapter 11 Where to Go Next 12. Bibliography
13. Other Books You May Enjoy
14. Index

6.4 Splines

A general way to write very flexible models is to apply functions Bm to Xm and then multiply them by coefficients βm:

μ = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1B1 (X1) + 𝛽2B2(X2 )+ ⋅⋅⋅+ 𝛽mBm (Xm )

We are free to pick Bm as we wish; for instance, we can pick polynomials. But we can also pick other functions. A popular choice is to use B-splines; we are not going to discuss their definition, but we can think of them as a way to create smooth curves in such a way that we get flexibility, as with polynomials, but less prone to overfitting. We achieve this by using piecewise polynomials, that is, polynomials that are restricted to affect only a portion of the data. Figure 6.6 shows three examples of piecewise polynomials of increasing degrees. The dotted vertical lines show the ”knots,” which are the points used to restrict the regions, the dashed gray line represents the function we want to approximate, and the black lines are the piecewise polynomials.

PIC

Figure 6.6: Piecewise polynomials of increasing degrees

Figure 6.7 shows...

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